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Market structure

as of 2026-07-09 · data through 2026-03-31

How the market is organized right now: measured, not predicted. Read across two lenses: the broad market, and our own on-chain reconstruction.

Today: dispersed, many independent movers (rotation)within its own recent range

Left = dispersed (capital rotating into individual stories). Right = one body (everything follows the leader).

Standing out on their own

Beyond the market's common move: and whether it is building or fading.

  • COMPreceding
  • ETHreceding
  • AEROreceding
  • BTCoscillating
  • LTCreceding
  • INJoscillating
Our on-chain lens: dispersed, many independent movers (rotation)data through 2026-06-24

The same reading built only from our sovereign on-chain data, no external feed. It runs more dispersed than the broad market: on-chain-native names move on their own reasons.

  • FETemerging
  • MYRIAemerging
  • CHEXemerging
  • JASMYemerging
  • AGRSemerging

Signal tiers

12
active, a real directed pattern
31
latent, present but static
29
quiet

Where it actually trades

Share of volume on-chain vs everywhere. Low share = it mostly trades on exchanges; our on-chain price is a thin reference there. On-chain shares are a floor. We count each token's deepest pool, so names that trade across many pools sit higher than shown.

  • WETH6.7% on-chain
  • EURC4.3% on-chain
  • PAXG2.9% on-chain
  • ZORA1.5% on-chain
  • AERO1.3% on-chain

Tradeable edge, after cost

Of 200 on-chain names, 0 clear a 50bp gap once fees, gas and slippage are paid. The edge, if any, lives on the deepest liquidity, not the thin names.

Our reconstruction vs the market

Our on-chain rebuild matches the broad market at 0.986. The widest gap is BNB: a same-asset, different-instrument divergence (a bridged or thin-liquidity name).

Structural measurement, not price prediction. Claims stand until refuted, never secured.