2026-05-312026-05-31T05:07:20+00:00

Alt Season continues, but structure shows post-peak echoes.

Alt SeasonSidewaysBTC Season

4 voices, 23% still coupled.

Market stress detected. Token correlations deviating from baseline. Regime transition probability elevated.

live signalno recent data
23%
concentration-0.4%p 7d
4
voices+1 7d
12
days in
stability
low
921+ tokens
4,400+ days
from 2014
updated daily
halving cycle 4day 772
post-peak
halving54% of cycle

historically at this phase: BTC Season 93.8%, zero Alt Season days

60-day structure

signalnoise

scroll to zoom ยท drag to pan

Alt SeasonAlt Season. 23%BTC Season
04-10โ†’Sideways.32.2%05-15โ†’Sideways.24.7%05-19โ†’Alt Season.24.4%

model portfolio

Alt Season.
Structural longs

Tokens move independently. Long tokens gaining structural rank. They decouple from BTC and run on their own.

rising signals
active, trading these
falling signals
observed only
+4.1%
vs BTC
6%
win rate (3/54d)
+13.0%
total return
strategyBTC
+13.0%+8.9%

cumulative return

strategy btc

54 days tracked ยท not financial advice ยท model portfolio

how does this work? โ†’

The model portfolio tracks what happens when tokens change their structural position, not their price. It measures market structure, then follows the transitions.

Three regimes. In BTC season, the strategy holds BTC. In alt season, it follows tokens gaining structural rank. In sideways markets, it holds and waits.

Every claim here is based on measurement, not prediction. Claims stand until refuted, never secured.

structural measurement ยท 30 days

concentration
23.0%
velocity
-0.32%/d
voices
4
health
0.5673
stability
0.0027
coupling
0.057
05-0205-31

signals

0 rising ยท 0 falling

no structural signals today

structure is stable. no transitions detected.

structural signal โ‰  price prediction. structure rising โ‰  price direction.

transition paths

3 detected
BTC Season. โ†’ Sideways.
04-10-4.9%/d
Alt Season. โ†’ Sideways.
05-15+0.7%/d
Sideways. โ†’ Alt Season.
05-19-0.5%/d

today's research โ†’

observations, regime contextยท BTC $74,158

6 years of market structure

tap any point for details

202020222023202420252026
BTC Season.Sideways.Alt Season. now

921 tokens scored

find your token โ†’